Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Stealth

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Stealth game?

Stealth

Of 1,115 developers who shipped a Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2,428 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $720k, ×1152 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 2,428 games are announced against 643 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 2,428 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,115
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $1.9k → $2.9k → $1.3k → $1.7k → $1.3k → $1.0k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,115
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,134)
Top 25% $9.9k (exactly $9,880)
Top 5% $724k (exactly $723,605)
Developers, 2 yr 1,115
Released games 3,581
Announced 2,428
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 945,949 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $9.8k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 620 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2,428 games are announced against 643 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Stealth

160 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. JRPG + Stealth Fair $1.3k 7 devs
  2. Stealth + World War II Poor odds $43k 11 devs
  3. Stealth + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $30k 19 devs
  4. Stealth + Turn-Based Combat Poor odds $27k 8 devs
  5. Stealth + Wargame Poor odds $21k 10 devs
  6. Stealth + Dinosaurs Poor odds $17k 10 devs
  7. Gun Customization + Stealth Poor odds $13k 20 devs
  8. Stealth + Base Building Poor odds $13k 21 devs
  9. Stealth + Cold War Poor odds $10k 7 devs
  10. Stealth + Historical Poor odds $9.6k 32 devs
  11. Stealth + Military Poor odds $8.5k 43 devs
  12. Stealth + War Poor odds $7.6k 30 devs
  13. Driving + Stealth Poor odds $6.6k 18 devs
  14. Stealth + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $6.3k 57 devs
  15. Open World + Stealth Poor odds $5.5k 92 devs
  16. Co-op + Stealth Poor odds $5.5k 153 devs
  17. Online Co-Op + Stealth Poor odds $4.7k 167 devs
  18. Stealth + Underground Poor odds $4.6k 26 devs
  19. Stealth + Tactical RPG Poor odds $4.5k 14 devs
  20. Stealth + Crime Poor odds $4.4k 78 devs
  21. Sandbox + Stealth Poor odds $4.2k 57 devs
  22. Stealth + Crafting Poor odds $4.2k 52 devs
  23. Stealth + Noir Poor odds $4.2k 32 devs
  24. Stealth + Modern Poor odds $4.2k 25 devs
  25. Stealth + Turn-Based Tactics Poor odds $4.1k 10 devs
  26. Stealth + Management Poor odds $3.9k 30 devs
  27. Stealth + Loot Poor odds $3.7k 39 devs
  28. Stealth + Female Protagonist Poor odds $3.4k 123 devs
  29. Stealth + Procedural Generation Poor odds $3.4k 74 devs
  30. Stealth + Conspiracy Poor odds $3.4k 22 devs
  31. Stealth + Building Poor odds $3.0k 21 devs
  32. Stealth + Lovecraftian Poor odds $2.9k 31 devs
  33. Stealth + Heist Poor odds $2.7k 37 devs
  34. Parkour + Stealth Poor odds $2.7k 26 devs
  35. Stealth + Simulation Poor odds $2.7k 188 devs
  36. Stealth + Local Co-Op Poor odds $2.7k 20 devs
  37. Stealth + Visual Novel Poor odds $2.6k 22 devs
  38. Immersive Sim + Stealth Poor odds $2.6k 112 devs
  39. Stealth + Dystopian Poor odds $2.5k 36 devs
  40. Shooter + Stealth Poor odds $2.4k 163 devs
  41. Stealth + Aliens Poor odds $2.4k 30 devs
  42. Looter Shooter + Stealth Poor odds $2.4k 11 devs
  43. Stealth + Action Roguelike Poor odds $2.3k 43 devs
  44. Stealth + Tactical Poor odds $2.2k 98 devs
  45. Hunting + Stealth Poor odds $2.2k 25 devs
  46. Stealth + Physics Poor odds $2.2k 85 devs
  47. Stealth + Futuristic Poor odds $2.2k 47 devs
  48. RPG + Stealth Poor odds $2.2k 132 devs
  49. Stealth + Cats Poor odds $2.2k 21 devs
  50. Stealth + Supernatural Poor odds $2.1k 124 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019 · $467M Dead by Daylight 2016 · $411M Far Cry® 5 2018 · $311M Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M Dying Light 2015 · $280M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition older $59.99 259,508 95% 7.8M $467M (exactly $467,036,548) FromSoftware, Inc.
Dead by Daylight older $19.99 685,423 78% 21M $411M (exactly $411,048,173) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Far Cry® 5 older $59.99 172,897 81% 5.2M $311M (exactly $311,162,731) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Sh… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Kiev)
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Dying Light older $24.99 373,413 95% 11M $280M (exactly $279,947,726) Techland
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition older $39.99 219,271 94% 6.6M $263M (exactly $263,059,419) Bethesda Game Studios
Assassin's Creed® Origins older $59.99 119,764 85% 3.6M $216M (exactly $215,539,271) Ubisoft Montreal
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered older $59.99 101,879 96% 3.1M $183M (exactly $183,351,636) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
Schedule I · EA $19.99 288,939 97% 8.7M $173M (exactly $173,276,718) TVGS
Persona 5 Royal older $59.99 91,682 96% 2.8M $165M (exactly $165,000,095) ATLUS
R.E.P.O. · EA $9.99 341,004 96% 10M $102M (exactly $102,198,899) semiwork
Assassin’s Creed Shadows $69.99 34,953 75% 1.0M $73M (exactly $73,390,814) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Bucharest & Craiova, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Osaka, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Ukraine)
Marvel's Spider-Man 2 $59.99 33,433 83% 1.0M $60M (exactly $60,169,370) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered $49.99 34,252 90% 1.0M $51M (exactly $51,367,724) Naughty Dog LLC, Nixxes Software, Iron… (Naughty Dog LLC, Nixxes Software, Iron Galaxy Studios)
Assassin's Creed Black Flag Resynced $59.99 26,652 81% 800k $48M (exactly $47,965,604) Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, U… (Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Barcelona, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft India, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Romania)
Escape the Backrooms $9.99 137,315 90% 4.1M $41M (exactly $41,153,306) Fancy Games, Blackbird Interactive
DEATH STRANDING 2: ON THE BEACH $69.99 15,434 94% 463k $32M (exactly $32,406,770) KOJIMA PRODUCTIONS, Nixxes Software
Mafia: The Old Country $49.99 20,909 71% 627k $31M (exactly $31,357,227) Hangar 13
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle $69.99 13,058 89% 392k $27M (exactly $27,417,883) MachineGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.