Should I ship an Offroad game?
Offroad
Of 102 developers who shipped an Offroad game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 164 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 164 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 90% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $297 (exactly $297) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $14,032) |
| Top 5% | $581k (exactly $580,563) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 102 |
| Released games | 351 |
| Announced | 164 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Offroad
- effort 7 / 10 · low · terrain and suspension physics
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Offroad
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 90,417 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 55 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 164 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
All pairs with Offroad
- Offroad + 3D Platformer Long shot $478
- Offroad + Character Customization Poor odds $69k
- Immersive Sim + Offroad Poor odds $19k
- PvP + Offroad Poor odds $4.3k
- Offroad + Physics Poor odds $2.7k
- Offroad + Exploration Poor odds $2.7k
- Offroad + Sports Poor odds $2.5k
- Offroad + Transportation Poor odds $2.3k
- Automobile Sim + Offroad Poor odds $1.7k
- Offroad + Simulation Poor odds $1.3k
- Open World + Offroad Poor odds $1.3k
- Offroad + Nature Poor odds $1.1k
- Offroad + Sandbox Poor odds $1.1k
- Offroad + Racing Poor odds $899
- Offroad + Action Poor odds $899
- Offroad + Adventure Poor odds $899
- Offroad + Action-Adventure Poor odds $899
- Offroad + Driving Poor odds $898
- Motorbike + Offroad Poor odds $839
- Offroad + Arcade Poor odds $718
- Offroad + Split Screen Dead $165k
- Offroad + Local Multiplayer Dead $10k
- Offroad + PvE Dead $5.0k
- Bikes + Offroad Dead $959
- Motocross + Offroad Dead $959
- Offroad + Combat Racing Dead $240
- Offroad + Vehicular Combat Dead $238
- Offroad + Score Attack Dead $0
- Offroad + Destruction Dead $0
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | Need for Speed™ Payback | older | $29.99 | 27,424 85% | 823k | $25M (exactly $24,673,373) | Ghost Games |
| | DiRT Rally 2.0 | older | $19.99 | 39,091 89% | 1.2M | $23M (exactly $23,442,873) | Codemasters |
| | MudRunner | older | $19.99 | 37,705 91% | 1.1M | $23M (exactly $22,611,688) | Saber Interactive |
| | RV There Yet? | $7.99 | 72,732 90% | 2.2M | $17M (exactly $17,433,860) | Nuggets Entertainment | |
| | EA SPORTS™ WRC | older | $49.99 | 10,532 61% | 316k | $16M (exactly $15,794,840) | Codemasters |
| | WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship | older | $19.99 | 12,146 82% | 364k | $7.3M (exactly $7,283,956) | KT Racing |
| | Gunner, HEAT, PC! | · EA older | $29.99 | 7,603 91% | 228k | $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) | Radian Simulations LLC |
| | DIRT 5 | older | $59.99 | 3,530 59% | 106k | $6.4M (exactly $6,352,941) | Codemasters |
| | Naval Action | older | $19.99 | 10,187 52% | 306k | $6.1M (exactly $6,109,144) | Bermuda Computer Club |
| | JDM: Japanese Drift Master | $34.99 | 5,217 75% | 157k | $5.5M (exactly $5,476,285) | Gaming Factory | |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | FUMES | · EA | $14.99 | 2,816 95% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) | FUMES team |
| | Old School Rally | $12.99 | 2,142 89% | 64k | $835k (exactly $834,737) | Frozen Lake Games | |
| | Pure Rock Crawling | $14.99 | 1,291 83% | 39k | $581k (exactly $580,563) | Maciej Kuzianik | |
| | #DRIVE Rally | $19.99 | 743 79% | 22k | $446k (exactly $445,577) | Pixel Perfect Dude | |
| | Unbridled: That Horse Game | · EA | $24.99 | 487 85% | 15k | $365k (exactly $365,104) | Mind Evotion Games |
| | World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition | $39.99 | 243 89% | 7.3k | $292k (exactly $291,527) | Monster Games, Amber | |
| | Exo Rally Championship | $24.99 | 374 90% | 11k | $280k (exactly $280,388) | Exbleative |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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