Do I ship it?

Games › Settings › Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological game?

Mythology

Of 657 developers who shipped a Mythological game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,335 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $530k, ×854 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 1,335 games are announced against 357 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 1,335 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 657
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.6k → $4.2k → $1.5k → $1.6k → $2.7k → $1.4k → $959 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 657
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,793)
Top 5% $536k (exactly $536,036)
Developers, 2 yr 657
Released games 1,870
Announced 1,335
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 734,692 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 393 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,335 games are announced against 357 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Mythology

109 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Mythology Fair $6.9k 22 devs
  2. Collectathon + Mythology Fair $2.4k 18 devs
  3. Idler + Mythology Fair $2.2k 42 devs
  4. Incremental + Mythology Fair $838 43 devs
  5. Turn-Based + Mythology Poor odds $33k 16 devs
  6. Base Building + Mythology Poor odds $19k 33 devs
  7. City Builder + Mythology Poor odds $19k 18 devs
  8. Economy + Mythology Poor odds $19k 14 devs
  9. Spectacle fighter + Mythology Poor odds $11k 16 devs
  10. Sandbox + Mythology Poor odds $10k 36 devs
  11. Souls-like + Mythology Poor odds $9.9k 39 devs
  12. Online Co-Op + Mythology Poor odds $8.7k 21 devs
  13. Metroidvania + Mythology Poor odds $7.0k 19 devs
  14. Dating Sim + Mythology Poor odds $6.6k 24 devs
  15. Tabletop + Mythology Poor odds $6.6k 14 devs
  16. Strategy RPG + Mythology Poor odds $6.1k 37 devs
  17. Class-Based + Mythology Poor odds $5.8k 18 devs
  18. Open World + Mythology Poor odds $5.4k 64 devs
  19. JRPG + Mythology Poor odds $5.4k 35 devs
  20. Co-op + Mythology Poor odds $5.0k 32 devs
  21. Grid-Based Movement + Mythology Poor odds $5.0k 17 devs
  22. FPS + Mythology Poor odds $4.7k 28 devs
  23. Investigation + Mythology Poor odds $4.7k 22 devs
  24. Building + Mythology Poor odds $4.6k 34 devs
  25. Tactical RPG + Mythology Poor odds $4.3k 22 devs
  26. Turn-Based Combat + Mythology Poor odds $3.7k 76 devs
  27. Party-Based RPG + Mythology Poor odds $3.7k 27 devs
  28. Hack and Slash + Mythology Poor odds $3.6k 73 devs
  29. Third-Person Shooter + Mythology Poor odds $3.6k 13 devs
  30. Management + Mythology Poor odds $3.0k 37 devs
  31. Immersive Sim + Mythology Poor odds $3.0k 31 devs
  32. Visual Novel + Mythology Poor odds $2.9k 62 devs
  33. CRPG + Mythology Poor odds $2.9k 23 devs
  34. Choose Your Own Adventure + Mythology Poor odds $2.7k 46 devs
  35. Character Customization + Mythology Poor odds $2.7k 37 devs
  36. Roguelite + Mythology Poor odds $2.4k 122 devs
  37. Roguelike + Mythology Poor odds $2.4k 120 devs
  38. Creature Collector + Mythology Poor odds $2.4k 24 devs
  39. RPG + Mythology Poor odds $2.4k 240 devs
  40. Action Roguelike + Mythology Poor odds $2.4k 71 devs
  41. Beat 'em up + Mythology Poor odds $2.4k 13 devs
  42. Procedural Generation + Mythology Poor odds $2.3k 40 devs
  43. RTS + Mythology Poor odds $2.3k 23 devs
  44. Real Time Tactics + Mythology Poor odds $2.3k 20 devs
  45. Loot + Mythology Poor odds $2.3k 40 devs
  46. Tower Defense + Mythology Poor odds $2.2k 24 devs
  47. Dungeon Crawler + Mythology Poor odds $2.2k 50 devs
  48. Simulation + Mythology Poor odds $2.2k 105 devs
  49. Deckbuilding + Mythology Poor odds $2.2k 52 devs
  50. Action RPG + Mythology Poor odds $2.2k 92 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Black Myth: Wukong 2024 · $1.6B Valheim 2026 · $418M Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M Assassin's Creed® Origins 2017 · $216M Hades 2020 · $214M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Black Myth: Wukong older $59.99 881,186 96% 26M $1.6B (exactly $1,585,870,444) Game Science
Valheim $29.99 464,893 94% 14M $418M (exactly $418,264,232) Iron Gate AB
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Assassin's Creed® Origins older $59.99 119,764 85% 3.6M $216M (exactly $215,539,271) Ubisoft Montreal
Hades older $24.99 285,748 97% 8.6M $214M (exactly $214,225,276) Supergiant Games
God of War older $49.99 129,712 95% 3.9M $195M (exactly $194,529,086) Santa Monica Studio, Jetpack Interactive
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal older $19.99 190,184 56% 5.7M $114M (exactly $114,053,345) 鬼谷工作室
Hades II $29.99 114,419 95% 3.4M $103M (exactly $102,942,774) Supergiant Games
Assassin's Creed Valhalla older $59.99 41,083 70% 1.2M $74M (exactly $73,937,075) Ubisoft Montreal
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice older $29.99 66,788 90% 2.0M $60M (exactly $60,089,164) Ninja Theory
God of War Ragnarök $59.99 32,502 89% 975k $58M (exactly $58,493,849) Santa Monica Studio, Jetpack Interactive
The Scroll of Taiwu : Beyond The Dome $29.99 56,535 65% 1.7M $51M (exactly $50,864,540) ConchShip Games
Digimon Story Time Stranger $69.99 15,845 89% 475k $33M (exactly $33,269,746) Media.Vision Inc.
Titan Quest II · EA $34.99 17,398 81% 522k $18M (exactly $18,262,681) Grimlore Games
Soulmask $29.99 18,445 76% 553k $17M (exactly $16,594,966) CampFire Studio
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
Jotunnslayer: Hordes of Hel $14.99 7,318 82% 220k $3.3M (exactly $3,290,905) Games Farm, ARTillery
SWORN $24.99 3,779 80% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) Windwalk Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.