Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsMahjong

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mahjong game?

Mahjong

Of 53 developers who shipped a Mahjong game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 1 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×6.8 the market's $120 for a 1 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 46 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 46 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mahjong
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 53
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $1.8k → $4.9k → $14k → $1.1k → $1.5k → $628 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mahjong: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 53
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $807 (exactly $807)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,394)
Top 5% $287k (exactly $287,113)
Developers, 2 yr 53
Released games 160
Announced 46
Effort 1 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mahjong
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
1 / 10 · text and UI only
Systems
Mahjong
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 6,321 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $810, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Mahjong

7 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Tabletop + Mahjong Fair $1.2k 26 devs
  2. Board Game + Mahjong Fair $1.1k 28 devs
  3. Mahjong + Solitaire Fair $1.1k 20 devs
  4. Puzzle + Mahjong Fair $807 21 devs
  5. Strategy + Mahjong Fair $779 37 devs
  6. Logic + Mahjong Fair $779 12 devs
  7. Card Game + Mahjong Fair $748 28 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demonic Mahjong $16.99 3,875 95% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,975,087) Boxed Lighting Games
Stripjong - Super Real Mahjong Venus Returns $29.99 740 80% 22k $666k (exactly $665,778) ILLUMINATION
Aotenjo: Infinite Hands · EA $9.99 958 87% 29k $287k (exactly $287,113) XO Cat
Mahjong older $9.99 589 84% 18k $177k (exactly $176,523) Sanuk Games
Mahjong Pretty Girls Battle older $14.99 304 63% 9.1k $137k (exactly $136,709) Zoo Corporation
TOUHOU GENSOU MAHJONG $34.99 109 46% 3.3k $114k (exactly $114,417) D.N.A. Softwares
Mahjong World Contest (麻将) older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit
Mahjong Pretty Girls Battle : School Girls Edition older $14.99 187 64% 5.6k $84k (exactly $84,094) Zoo Corporation
Pretty Girls Mahjong Solitaire older $4.99 545 76% 16k $82k (exactly $81,586) Zoo Corporation
Mahjong Magic Journey older $14.99 136 80% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Creobit
Feng Shui Meowjong $4.99 276 95% 8.3k $41k (exactly $41,317) Wavebreak Studio
纵横麻将 Matrix Mahjong $9.99 66 90% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Chao8games
Kungfu Card · EA $4.99 125 73% 3.8k $19k (exactly $18,712) ZeroCastle Game Studio, Miwu Studio
dirtbag MAHJONG $9.99 51 96% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) paranoodle
Anomaly Mahjong $4.99 94 65% 2.8k $14k (exactly $14,072) YUTAMARO WORLD
Agari — Riichi Mahjong $6.99 27 96% 810 $5.7k (exactly $5,662) Ryan Sullenberger

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.