Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler?

Idler

Of 2,063 developers who shipped an Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2,629 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 1 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $990, ×8.3 the market's $120 for a 1 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 2,629 games are announced against 1,506 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 2,629 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 2,063
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $898 → $2.1k → $1.4k → $1.2k → $1.6k → $987 (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 2,063
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $987 (exactly $987)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $140k (exactly $139,870)
Developers, 2 yr 2,063
Released games 4,391
Announced 2,629
Effort 1 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.20

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
1 / 10 · text and UI only
Systems
Idler
Price point
$4.20 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.20.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 112,420 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $990, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 849 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2,629 games are announced against 1,506 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Idler

178 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. FMV + Idler Strong odds $36k 10 devs
  2. Idler + Farming Strong odds $5.9k 33 devs
  3. Hack and Slash + Idler Fair $6.4k 32 devs
  4. Driving + Idler Fair $5.5k 16 devs
  5. Loot + Idler Fair $4.5k 181 devs
  6. FPS + Idler Fair $4.2k 22 devs
  7. Turn-Based Combat + Idler Fair $4.0k 52 devs
  8. Turn-Based Strategy + Idler Fair $3.6k 50 devs
  9. Dynamic Narration + Idler Fair $3.0k 16 devs
  10. Idler + Dark Fantasy Fair $2.9k 83 devs
  11. Idler + Capitalism Fair $2.9k 205 devs
  12. Swordplay + Idler Fair $2.7k 9 devs
  13. Idler + Modern Fair $2.7k 45 devs
  14. Visual Novel + Idler Fair $2.5k 93 devs
  15. Idler + Medieval Fair $2.4k 140 devs
  16. Economy + Idler Fair $2.3k 441 devs
  17. Mining + Idler Fair $2.3k 136 devs
  18. Idler + Mythology Fair $2.2k 42 devs
  19. RPG + Idler Fair $2.2k 357 devs
  20. Creature Collector + Idler Fair $2.1k 248 devs
  21. Idler + Fantasy Fair $1.9k 349 devs
  22. Collectathon + Idler Fair $1.9k 229 devs
  23. Strategy + Idler Fair $1.9k 696 devs
  24. Management + Idler Fair $1.9k 669 devs
  25. Idler + Artificial Intelligence Fair $1.8k 85 devs
  26. Idler + Underground Fair $1.8k 30 devs
  27. Idler + Detective Fair $1.7k 18 devs
  28. Crafting + Idler Fair $1.7k 235 devs
  29. Walking Simulator + Idler Fair $1.7k 38 devs
  30. Resource Management + Idler Fair $1.6k 656 devs
  31. Idler + Nature Fair $1.6k 242 devs
  32. Automobile Sim + Idler Fair $1.6k 9 devs
  33. Agriculture + Idler Fair $1.5k 72 devs
  34. Idler + Historical Fair $1.5k 30 devs
  35. Roguelite + Idler Fair $1.5k 166 devs
  36. Turn-Based Tactics + Idler Fair $1.3k 47 devs
  37. Farming Sim + Idler Fair $1.3k 208 devs
  38. Idler + War Fair $1.3k 25 devs
  39. Sports + Idler Fair $1.3k 34 devs
  40. Idler + Demons Fair $1.3k 30 devs
  41. Idler + Incremental Fair $1.3k 1,188 devs
  42. Automation + Idler Fair $1.2k 537 devs
  43. Simulation + Idler Fair $1.2k 1,198 devs
  44. Immersive Sim + Idler Fair $1.2k 126 devs
  45. Sandbox + Idler Fair $1.2k 258 devs
  46. Tower Defense + Idler Fair $1.2k 108 devs
  47. Character Customization + Idler Fair $1.2k 210 devs
  48. JRPG + Idler Fair $1.2k 25 devs
  49. Idler + Military Fair $1.2k 19 devs
  50. Idler + Aliens Fair $1.2k 28 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

WorldBox - God Simulator 2021 · EA · $31M Cookie Clicker 2021 · $13M BALL x PIT 2025 · $11M Spirit City: Lofi Sessions 2024 · $5.5M Chill with You : Lo-Fi Story 2025 · $4.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Cookie Clicker older $4.99 87,916 96% 2.6M $13M (exactly $13,161,025) Orteil, DashNet
BALL x PIT $14.99 24,714 95% 741k $11M (exactly $11,113,886) Kenny Sun and Friends
Spirit City: Lofi Sessions older $11.99 15,211 97% 456k $5.5M (exactly $5,471,397) Mooncube Games
Chill with You : Lo-Fi Story $11.99 12,215 98% 366k $4.4M (exactly $4,393,736) Nestopi Inc.
Melvor Idle older $9.99 14,630 90% 439k $4.4M (exactly $4,384,611) Games by Malcs
Cast n Chill $14.99 8,383 94% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,769,835) Wombat Brawler
Farm Together 2 $25.99 4,456 93% 134k $3.5M (exactly $3,474,343) Milkstone Studios
Scritchy Scratchy $6.99 15,245 94% 457k $3.2M (exactly $3,196,876) Lunch Money Games
THE LONGING older $14.99 6,977 92% 209k $3.1M (exactly $3,137,557) Studio Seufz
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Shelldiver $4.99 16,806 98% 504k $2.5M (exactly $2,515,858) Gagonfe
Lessaria: Fantasy Kingdom Sim $24.90 2,938 77% 88k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,686) Rockbee Team
Bills Must Be Paid $6.99 9,928 96% 298k $2.1M (exactly $2,081,902) Rike Games
Berry Bury Berry $7.99 8,619 98% 259k $2.1M (exactly $2,065,974) Get(Color) Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.