Do I ship it?

GamesSettingsFaith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith game?

Faith

Of 234 developers who shipped a Faith game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 324 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×572 the market median. Revenue is up 195% on the market; 324 games are announced against 124 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 195% on the market, 324 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 234
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $1.9k → $5.2k → $1.8k → $599 → $1.8k → $2.0k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 234
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,440)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,301)
Top 5% $272k (exactly $271,621)
Developers, 2 yr 234
Released games 717
Announced 324
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 195% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 16,892 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 139 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 324 games are announced against 124 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Faith

46 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Bullet Hell + Faith Fair $17k 26 devs
  2. Shoot 'Em Up + Faith Fair $17k 13 devs
  3. Life Sim + Faith Fair $9.4k 11 devs
  4. Arcade + Faith Fair $2.2k 16 devs
  5. FPS + Faith Fair $1.9k 14 devs
  6. Hidden Object + Faith Fair $628 20 devs
  7. Incremental + Faith Fair $599 14 devs
  8. Action Roguelike + Faith Fair $449 16 devs
  9. Open World + Faith Long shot $716 11 devs
  10. Roguelite + Faith Poor odds $49k 16 devs
  11. Resource Management + Faith Poor odds $37k 15 devs
  12. JRPG + Faith Poor odds $11k 14 devs
  13. Survival Horror + Faith Poor odds $10k 12 devs
  14. Roguelike + Faith Poor odds $9.9k 20 devs
  15. Turn-Based Combat + Faith Poor odds $9.9k 13 devs
  16. God Game + Faith Poor odds $8.5k 12 devs
  17. Hack and Slash + Faith Poor odds $8.4k 7 devs
  18. Combat + Faith Poor odds $6.3k 29 devs
  19. Turn-Based Tactics + Faith Poor odds $5.9k 12 devs
  20. Shooter + Faith Poor odds $4.8k 29 devs
  21. Card Game + Faith Poor odds $3.6k 13 devs
  22. Action + Faith Poor odds $3.6k 73 devs
  23. Strategy + Faith Poor odds $2.2k 35 devs
  24. Logic + Faith Poor odds $1.9k 11 devs
  25. Choose Your Own Adventure + Faith Poor odds $1.9k 14 devs
  26. RPG + Faith Poor odds $1.8k 59 devs
  27. Multiple Endings + Faith Poor odds $1.6k 38 devs
  28. Interactive Fiction + Faith Poor odds $1.6k 26 devs
  29. Point & Click + Faith Poor odds $1.4k 18 devs
  30. Simulation + Faith Poor odds $1.2k 46 devs
  31. Action-Adventure + Faith Poor odds $958 37 devs
  32. Choices Matter + Faith Poor odds $898 32 devs
  33. Adventure + Faith Poor odds $897 116 devs
  34. Visual Novel + Faith Poor odds $897 45 devs
  35. Exploration + Faith Poor odds $807 60 devs
  36. Immersive Sim + Faith Poor odds $748 17 devs
  37. Walking Simulator + Faith Poor odds $716 25 devs
  38. Puzzle + Faith Poor odds $599 36 devs
  39. Action RPG + Faith Poor odds $359 20 devs
  40. PvE + Faith Poor odds $59 15 devs
  41. Turn-Based Strategy + Faith Dead $3.3k 9 devs
  42. PvP + Faith Dead $2.1k 7 devs
  43. Platformer + Faith Dead $539 13 devs
  44. 3D Platformer + Faith Dead $359 16 devs
  45. Puzzle Platformer + Faith Dead $210 10 devs
  46. 2D Platformer + Faith Dead $119 23 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cult of the Lamb older $24.99 112,096 95% 3.4M $84M (exactly $84,038,371) Massive Monster
Touhou Luna Nights older $17.99 13,776 97% 413k $7.4M (exactly $7,434,907) Team Ladybug, WSS playground
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya older $5.99 29,517 98% 886k $5.3M (exactly $5,304,205) 二色幽紫蝶, Re零同人社
FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE $49.99 2,663 87% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,993,701) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
FAITH: The Unholy Trinity older $14.99 8,006 95% 240k $3.6M (exactly $3,600,298) Airdorf Games
Touhou Koumakyou: New Classic - the Embodiment of Scarlet Devil $17.99 3,740 98% 112k $2.0M (exactly $2,018,478) 上海アリス幻樂団, 上海アリスReprise
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. older $14.99 4,312 98% 129k $1.9M (exactly $1,939,106) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend · EA older $29.99 2,036 92% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,831,789) Alioth Studio
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded- older $34.99 1,734 93% 52k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,180) AQUASTYLE
Gensokyo Night Festival · EA older $12.99 4,497 69% 135k $1.8M (exactly $1,752,481) WSS playground, tea_basira
Forgive Me Father 2 $24.99 1,500 81% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550) Byte Barrel
33 Immortals $14.89 2,130 72% 64k $951k (exactly $951,471) Thunder Lotus
I Am Jesus Christ $19.99 1,486 87% 45k $891k (exactly $891,154) Space Boat Studios
Touhou Dystopian $9.99 2,161 97% 65k $648k (exactly $647,652) Kay Lnk
Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - $34.99 582 98% 17k $611k (exactly $610,925) さんぼん堂
TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III $13.99 1,242 90% 37k $521k (exactly $521,267) 东方幕华祭制作组
Valkyrie of Phantasm $29.99 556 86% 17k $500k (exactly $500,233) AREAZERO
Touhou Kinjoukyou ~ Fossilized Wonders. $14.99 832 91% 25k $374k (exactly $374,150) 上海アリス幻樂団

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.