Should I ship a Bird game?
Birds
Of 49 developers who shipped a Bird game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×616 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 56 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) |
| Top 25% | $9.2k (exactly $9,170) |
| Top 5% | $293k (exactly $292,514) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 49 |
| Released games | 93 |
| Announced | 56 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Birds
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 8,068 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
All pairs with Birds
- Simulation + Birds Fair $3.8k
- Adventure + Birds Poor odds $7.0k
- Action + Birds Dead $179
Comparable games
Duck Detective: The Secret Salami 2024 · $1.8M 
Hatoful Boyfriend 2014 · $1.7M 
A Bird Story 2014 · $982k 
Headbangers: Rhythm Royale 2023 · $884k 
Duck Detective: The Ghost of Glamping 2025 · $771k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Duck Detective: The Secret Salami | older | $9.99 | 6,128 94% | 184k | $1.8M (exactly $1,836,562) | Happy Broccoli Games |
| | Hatoful Boyfriend | older | $9.99 | 5,533 94% | 166k | $1.7M (exactly $1,658,240) | Mediatonic, Hato Moa |
| | A Bird Story | older | $3.99 | 8,205 85% | 246k | $982k (exactly $982,138) | Freebird Games |
| | Headbangers: Rhythm Royale | older | $29.99 | 983 69% | 29k | $884k (exactly $884,405) | Glee-Cheese Studio |
| | Duck Detective: The Ghost of Glamping | $9.99 | 2,571 96% | 77k | $771k (exactly $770,529) | Happy Broccoli Games | |
 | Aviary Attorney | older | $14.99 | 1,155 94% | 35k | $519k (exactly $519,404) | Sketchy Logic |
 | Birdwatching Notebook | $9.99 | 1,588 97% | 48k | $476k (exactly $475,924) | Biekka Games | |
 | SkateBIRD | older | $19.99 | 637 85% | 19k | $382k (exactly $382,009) | Glass Bottom Games |
 | Flock Around | $4.99 | 1,954 98% | 59k | $293k (exactly $292,514) | Friend Shaped Games | |
 | Horticular: Build a Garden, Attract Wildlife | older | $19.99 | 391 88% | 12k | $234k (exactly $234,483) | inDirection Games |
 | Nature & Life - Drunk On Nectar | $14.99 | 263 87% | 7.9k | $118k (exactly $118,271) | Venugopalan Sreedharan | |
 | GuGu Pizza : Delivering Pizza to the Space Station? Boss, this is just not right! | $6.99 | 517 87% | 16k | $108k (exactly $108,415) | AnomalyGuys | |
 | VORON: Raven’s Story | $9.99 | 199 90% | 6.0k | $60k (exactly $59,640) | Merk Games | |
 | Birds Watching | $4.99 | 320 86% | 9.6k | $48k (exactly $47,904) | Studio Ortica | |
 | Birds Organized Neatly | $2.99 | 345 97% | 10k | $31k (exactly $30,947) | DU&I | |
 | Dodo Duckie | $11.99 | 80 98% | 2.4k | $29k (exactly $28,776) | BornMonkie | |
 | Little Aviary | $3.99 | 231 86% | 6.9k | $28k (exactly $27,651) | atomco |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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